Republican governor nominee Bruce Rauner seems to have momentum, but it’s much too early to be writing Democratic incumbent Pat Quinn’s concession speech.

In the past few weeks, Larry Sabato, a political scientist from the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, switched his “Crystal Ball” look at Illinois governor from a toss-up to leans Republican. Stuart Rothenberg, a political columnist for Roll Call and editor of the Rothenberg Political Report, shifted his prediction from a toss-up to Rauner, too.