What does NFL draft history say about Bears’ No. 11 pick?

The NFL draft is an unpredictable process. All it takes is one surprise pick – say quarterback Blake Bortles at No. 3 in 2014 – to dramatically change draft boards.

With the 11th overall pick, the Bears will plan for various scenarios ahead of them. Over the past 10 years, there have been some good picks at No. 11 – and some questionable ones.

Here’s a look a back at those No. 11 picks, which includes Bears quarterback Jay Cutler:

2015 Minnesota Vikings

CB Trae Waynes, Michigan State

Notable player passed on: CB Marcus Peters (No. 18, Chiefs)

Waynes was the first cornerback selected last year and has time to develop, but he started only once in 15 games as a rookie.

Peters starred immediately. He was named second-team All-Pro and the defensive rookie of the year after making eight interceptions, including two pick-sixes, and broke up 26 passes.

2014 Tennessee Titans

OT Taylor Lewan, Michigan

Notable players passed on: WR Odell Beckham Jr. (No. 12, Giants), DT Aaron Donald (No. 13, Rams)

Lewan is a quality player who improved over his second season at left tackle. But the Titans passed on two transcendent talents, Beckham and Donald.

With weapons needed for quarterback Marcus Mariota, missing out on Beckham stings. The Titans previously drafted receivers Kendall Wright (No. 20 in 2012) and Justin Hunter (No. 34 in 2013).

2013 San Diego Chargers

OT D.J. Fluker, Alabama

Notable players passed on: DT Sheldon Richardson (No. 13, Jets), OG Kyle Long (No. 20, Bears), TE Tyler Eifert (No. 21, Bengals), WR DeAndre Hopkins (No. 27, Texans)

Fluker has started 43 games over his first three seasons, playing right tackle his first two years and right guard last year. He was drafted as a tackle, but is a guard moving forward.

Overall, Fluker lacks the impact made by players selected behind him. Long, for instance, has made three Pro Bowls to Fluker’s none.

2012 Kansas City Chiefs

DT Dontari Poe, Memphis

Notable players passed on: DE/LB Bruce Irvin (No. 15, Seahawks), DE/OLB Chandler Jones (No. 21, Patriots), S Harrison Smith (No. 29 Vikings)

Poe may not be a household name, but he was a solid pick by the Chiefs who is an absolute force in the middle of their defense. He’s a two-time Pro Bowl player and was named second-team All-Pro in 2013.

Poe was the first defensive tackle selected, coming off the board before two other tackles, Fletcher Cox (No. 12, Philadelphia Eagles) and Michael Brockers (No. 14, Los Angeles Rams). Cox and Brockers have more sacks in their careers.

2011 Houston Texans

DE J.J. Watt, Wisconsin

Notable players passed on: DE Robert Quinn (No. 14, Rams), OLB Ryan Kerrigan (No. 16, Redskins) DE Cameron Jordan (No. 24, Saints), DT Muhammed Wilkerson (No. 30, Jets)

The 2011 draft is considered one of the best ever. It was an amazingly deep year for pass rushers, starting with Von Miller, whom the Broncos drafted with the second overall pick.

The Texans, meanwhile, landed a legend at No. 11. Watt is one of the best defenders ever. He’s won three defensive player of the year awards in just five seasons.

2010 San Francisco 49ers

OT Anthony Davis, Rutgers

Notable players passed on: S Earl Thomas, (No. 14, Seahawks), DE Jason Pierre-Paul (No. 15, Giants), WR Demaryius Thomas (No.22, Broncos), WR Dez Bryant (No. 24, Cowboys)

Davis, a right tackle, was part of a powerhouse offensive line that the 49ers built before Jim Harbaugh was named coach, but played an essential role in his success in San Francisco.

Davis’ future is unknown after he “retired” last season, but he indicated on social media that he wants to return.

2009 Buffalo Bills

OLB Aaron Maybin, Penn State

Notable players passed on: OLB Brian Orakpo (No. 13, Redskins), C Alex Mack (No. 21, Browns), OLB Clay Matthews (No. 26, Packers)

Maybin spent four disappointing seasons in the NFL, his last two with the New York Jets. He never recorded a sack for the Bills in two seasons before being cut.

Orakpo and Matthews are significantly better players. Matthews, in particular, became a staple of the Packers’ defense as a fast, aggressive pass rusher. Matthews, a six-time Pro Bowl player, has 67 ½ sacks in his career.

2008 Buffalo Bills

CB Leodis McKelvin, Troy

Notable players passed on: LT Ryan Clady (No. 12, Broncos), CB Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie (No. 16, Cardinals), CB Aqib Talib (No. 20, Bucs), RB Chris Johnson (No. 24, Titans), LT Duane Brown (No. 26, Texans)

McKelvin had a long eight-year run for the Bills, but never became a full-time starter. The Eagles signed him to two-year contract this offseason.

A versatile player, McKelvin spent time at nickel back, safety and returner in Buffalo. But Rodgers-Cromartie and Talib were better selections in the first round.

2007 San Francisco 49ers

LB Patrick Willis, Mississippi

Notable players passed on: RB Marshawn Lynch (No. 12, Bills), CB Darrelle Revis (No. 14, Jets), TE Greg Olsen (No. 31, Bears)

Willis surprisingly retired last year, but he’s one of the best linebackers of his era. He was the heart of the 49ers’ talented defense and a five-time first-team All-Pro selection.

2006 Denver Broncos

QB Jay Cutler, Vanderbilt

Notable players passed on: DT Haloti Ngata (No. 12, Ravens), CB Antonio Cromartie (No. 19, Chargers), DE Tamba Hali (No. 20, Chiefs)

After a Pro Bowl season in 2008, Cutler’s run in Denver ended after a regime change and problems developed with new coach Josh McDaniels.

Cutler, though, is the best quarterback from this draft. Vince Young (No. 3, Titans) and Matt Leinhart (No. 10, Cardinals) didn’t last long in the NFL.