New report warns 1 million kids likely to be undercounted in 2020 Census

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The Annie E. Casey Foundation’s 2018 Kids Count Data Book, an annual study of child well-being, was released this week. It warns of dire consequences to states for federal funding of critical programs, unless efforts are stepped up to reach youth in “hard-to-count” Census tracts. | Annie E. Casey Foundation/Provided

More than 1 million of the nation’s most vulnerable children — including 150,000 under the age of 5 in Illinois — are at risk of being undercounted in the 2020 census, according to a national report released this week.

The Annie E. Casey Foundation’s 2018 KIDS COUNT Data Book, an annual study of child well-being, warned of dire consequences to states in federal funding for critical programs, unless efforts are stepped up to count the youth — who are among about 4.5 million young children living in neighborhoods at risk of undercounting.

“Much of our efforts to improve the lives of Illinois children could be undermined,” said Tasha Green Cruzat, president of Voices for Illinois Children, which urged the Illinois Legislature, Cook County Board and City Council to fully fund outreach efforts.

A graph from the Annie E. Casey Foundation’s 2018 Kids Count Data Book compares number of children living in high-poverty areas from 2012-2016, nationally, by race.

A graph from the Annie E. Casey Foundation’s 2018 Kids Count Data Book compares number of children living in high-poverty areas from 2012-2016, nationally, by race.

In Illinois alone, over $5 billion a year in federal funding for programs like Medicaid, SNAP, CHIP and foster/child care, is based on Census data.

“If we don’t count children, we render their needs invisible and their futures uncertain,” said Casey Foundation President and CEO Patrick McCarthy, noting some 300 federal programs targeting family stability and opportunity use Census data to allocate more than $800 billion annually.

Results of undercounting could reverberate for decades. In education, it would mean overcrowded classrooms and eliminated Head Start programs; in healthcare, uninsured children and understaffed hospital emergency rooms.

A graph from the Annie E. Casey Foundation’s 2018 Kids Count Data Book compares number of child and teen deaths per 100,000 people, nationally, by race, in 2016.

A graph from the Annie E. Casey Foundation’s 2018 Kids Count Data Book compares number of child and teen deaths per 100,000 people, nationally, by race, in 2016.

The problems posed by the “hard-to-count” Census tracts compound others such as the new online census form and proposed questions about citizenship, sad the foundation, which called for greater state and local Census outreach, and efforts to mitigate confidentiality concerns.

Annually measuring four barometers of child well-being — economic, education, health, and family and community — the report ranked Illinois #22 overall; New Hampshire, #1.

Massachusetts, New Jersey, Minnesota and Iowa rounded out the top five; while Alaska, Nevada, Mississippi, Louisiana and New Mexico — at #50 — were bottom five. Mississippi’s #48 ranking was its highest in over 25 years.

The report continues to find troubling disparities among children from minority, low-income and immigrant families.

It found Illinois ranked high in providing children access to health insurance, and made gains over last year in key areas related to health and education. However, it found too many Illinois children still living in families struggling with economic security statewide.

The state ranked 24th in health, 13th in education, and 27th in both economic and family and community well-being.

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