Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Odds, Lines, Picks & Predictions – NBA, Apr. 21

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SHARE Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Odds, Lines, Picks & Predictions – NBA, Apr. 21
  • The Warriors are -2.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
  • Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
  • Thursday, April 21, 2022 at 10:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on ALT & NBCS-BA

The Golden State Warriors visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Denver.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are against the spread, while the Nuggets are against the spread.

The Warriors vs Nuggets Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

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Warriors vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread Over / Under Moneyline
-2.5 -105 O 224.5 -110 -135
+2.5 -115 U 224.5 -110 110

Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record, Historical Betting Trends:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone:

  • Away Spread Record against the Spread (Away Spread Units Units / Away Spread ROI ROI)
  • Away Moneyline Record against the Moneyline (Away ML Units Units / Away ML ROI ROI)
  • Away Record Over against the Over for game total points (Away Over Units Units / Away Over ROI ROI)
  • Away Under Record against the Under for game total points (Away Under Units Units / Away Under ROI ROI)

Positive Value Trends Against the Spread for the Warriors, Ranked by Units Won:

  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 60 games (+14.94 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 away games (+11.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 47 of their last 81 games (+10.93 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 83 games (+8.69 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in their last 7 games (+7.20 Units / 29% ROI)

Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Warriors, Ranked by Units Lost:

  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 41 away games (-22.16 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 22 of their last 48 games (-21.52 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 66 games (-20.50 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 81 games (-18.93 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-16.65 Units / -18% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record, Historical Betting Trends:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone:

  • Home Spread Record against the Spread (Home Spread Units Units / Home Spread ROI ROI)
  • Home Moneyline Record against the Moneyline (Home ML Units Units / Home ML ROI ROI)
  • Home Over Record against the Over for game total points (Home Over Units Units / Home Over ROI ROI)
  • Home Under Record against the Under for game total points (Home Under Units Units / Home Under ROI ROI)

Positive Value Trends Against the Spread for the Nuggets, Ranked by Units Won:

  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 46 of their last 72 games (+19.61 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 72 games (+18.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 68 games (+14.58 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 42 games (+12.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+11.39 Units / 41% ROI)

Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Nuggets, Ranked by Units Lost:

  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 24 of their last 71 games (-43.87 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 78 games (-26.85 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 33 games at home (-26.15 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 72 games (-25.60 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 84 games (-22.01 Units / -24% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Warriors are 15-6 (.714) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .468

The Warriors were 36-8 (.818) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .677

The Warriors are 12-5 (.706) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .514

The Warriors are 17-5 (.773) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .492

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Nuggets were 7-3 (.700) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

The Nuggets are 43-18 (.705) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets are 34-11 (.756) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Nuggets are 14-5 (.737) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. Warriors - Thursday’s Game, Apr. 21

  • Michael Porter Jr. (Nuggets): Porter Jr. has been cleared for on-court contact and is hoping to return sometime in March, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Jamal Murray (Nuggets): Murray is recovering from a torn ACL and no timetable has been announced for his return.
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala is probable for Thursday’s (Apr. 21) game against the Nuggets.
  • James Wiseman (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Wiseman will miss the rest of the season as he recovers from a right knee injury.

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 7.8 offensive rebounds per game (561 rebounds/72 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 9.8

The Warriors have averaged 15.0 turnovers per game (661 turnovers/44 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Warriors have made 14.3 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors have averaged 13.5 assists per game (592 assists/44 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.5

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 14.7 assists per game (633 assists/43 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

The Nuggets have 18.0 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.8

The Nuggets have averaged 8.7 offensive rebounds per game (376 rebounds/43 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.3

The Nuggets are shooting 50% (2,609/5,184) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 9.5 steals per game (420 steals/44 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Warriors have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,603 rebounds/44 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.3

The Warriors have 1,001 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd most among NBA teams

The Warriors have averaged 8.8 steals per game (513 steals/58 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (164 blocks/43 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (249 blocks/59 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets stole the ball 582 times last season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (487 blocks/115 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

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