Nate Silver predicts GOP will take Senate, but Durbin safe

SHARE Nate Silver predicts GOP will take Senate, but Durbin safe

Data guru Nate Silver, writing at, has a new prediction for the U.S. Senate — and Democrats should be worried.

Silver predicts that Republicans will take at least six seats, giving them control of both houses of congress.

Sen. Dick Durbin, now running against Republican nominee Jim Oberweis, appears safe, though. Silver’s model shows Durbin with a 95 percent chance at maintaining his seat in November.

The FiveThirtyEight model shows Louisiana, North Carolina, Alaska and Michigan as the likely crossover states. Colorado, Iowa and New Hampshire are in the “plausible” category of swinging from a Democratic Senator to a Republican, though Georgia and Kentucky are listed as possibly shifting Democratic.

Watch Silver discuss his forecast:

ABC US News | ABC Business News

The Latest
“This year, I’ve gained a huge appreciation for what it even means to play baseball,” DeJong said. “Now I can really see what it’s like to be here.”
Pen allows four in seventh, Flexen’s strong start wasted in Astros’ 5-3 win.
Sterling Bay’s Lincoln Park project has drawn criticism from local Ald. Scott Waguespack for its height and parking but it still cleared the Chicago Plan Commission on Thursday.
Jai’mani Amir Rivera was fatally shot about 3 p.m. Tuesday near his home in the 2300 block of West Jackson Boulevard.
As the Sky snap four-game losing skid, Reese finished with 16 points, 18 rebounds — 10 on the defensive glass — three assists and two steals against the Wings on Thursday afternoon.