Why Barack Obama is poised to be the next president of the United States. Campaign memo

WASHINGTON–On a Friday conference call, Obama national field director Jon Carson said all early voting trends and voter registration numbers in battleground states are in Barack Obama’s favor. Click below for the Carson memo.

TO: Interested Parties

FR: Jon Carson, Obama-Biden Campaign Field Director

RE: State of the early vote

DA: October 24, 2008

According to information from Secretaries of State from all over the country, Democrats are voting early at significantly higher rates than Republicans compared to 2004 and new and sporadic voting Democrats are voting early at higher rates than new or sporadic voting Republicans.

Below is the data on early voting I provided on the conference call earlier this afternoon.

Democrats are voting early at significantly higher rates than Republicans compared to 2004:

North Carolina – 2008 to date

All Votes By Party Registration

DEM

520,064

56%

REP

254,515

27%

UNA

155,476

17%

North Carolina – 2004 Final Early and Absentee Vote Numbers

All Votes By Party Registration

DEM

479,305

48%

REP

363,294

37%

UNA

149,632

15%

Nevada – 2008 to date

All Voting

Dem

107,122

53%

Repub

63,577

32%

Other

30,938

15%

Total

201,637

Nevada – 2004 Final Early and Absentee Vote Numbers

All Votes By Party Registration

DEM

147,408

45%

REP

135,743

41%

OTHER

45,211

14%

Iowa – 2008 to date

All Voting

Dem

132,882

50%

Repub

76,689

29%

Other

53,787

20%

Iowa – 2004 Final Early and Absentee Vote Numbers

All Voting

Dem

185,115

48%

Repub

118,167

30%

Other

86,071

22%

New Mexico – 2008 to date

All Voting

Dem

84,123

56%

Repub

49,145

33%

Other

16,484

11%

New Mexico – 2004 Final Early and Absentee Vote Numbers

All Voting

Dem

178,216

50%

Repub

132,505

38%

Other

42,461

12%

Colorado – 2008 to date

All Voting

Dem

184,352

39%

Repub

181,424

38%

Other

110,284

23%

Colorado – 2004 Final Early and Absentee Vote Numbers

All Voting

Dem

307,244

34%

Repub

384,642

42%

Other

221,336

24%

Florida – 2008 to date

All Voting

Dem

650,363

43%

Repub

651,700

43%

Other

225,980

14%

Florida – 2004 Final Early and Absentee Vote Numbers

All Voting

Dem

1,056,986

42%

Repub

1,097,616

43%

Other

386,367

15%

New and sporadic voting Democrats are voting early at higher rates than new or sporadic voting Republicans:

Colorado – 2008 to date

There are 233,878 new Democrats – 101,595 (43%) have requested mail in ballots.

There are 195,794 new Republicans – 70,248 (36%) have requested mail in ballots.

20% of all Democrats voting by mail have never voted in a general election before.

North Carolina – 2008 to date

There are 816,801 new Democrats – 70,561 (9%) have voted early.

There are 491,106 sporadic Democrats – 91,758 (19%) have voted early.

There are 533,490 new Republicans – 30,676 (6%) have requested mail in ballots.

There are 397,719 sporadic Republicans – 56,418 (14%) have voted early.

18% of all Democrats voting early are new Democrats who have never voted in a general election before and there are a lot more New Democrats.

15% of all Republican voting early are new Republicans

Nevada – 2008 to date

There are 170,672 new Democrats – 21,566 (13%) have voted early.

There are 69,979 sporadic Democrats – 13,305 (19%) have voted early.

There are 98,262 new Republicans – 8,243 (8%) have requested mail in ballots.

There are 52,019 sporadic Republicans – 7,256 (14%) have voted early.

40% of all Democrats voting early are new or Sporadic Democrats

30% of all Republican voting early are new or Sporadic Republicans

Iowa – 2008 to date

There are 103,449 new Democrats – 12,874 (12%) have voted early.

There are 92,479 sporadic Democrats – 20,686 (22%) have voted early.

There are 73,725 new Republicans – 5,414 (7%) have requested mail in ballots.

There are 71,647 sporadic Republicans – 11,577 (16%) have voted early.