Three Bears with the most to gain during their 2020 walk year

Bears receiver Allen Robinson says he’s not worried about the coronavirus pandemic and its inevitable blow to the NFL’s salary cap in 2021, when he’s scheduled to become a free agent.

He knows other sports have it worse — he’s talked to his sister Ashley, who’s the youth programs and player relations manager for the Detroit Tigers, about the impact the virus had across baseball.

“I don’t think that for us as a whole in the NFL will go through anything like that …” he said last month. “As far as my contract, I don’t think that has any effect on it — nor do I have a concern of that having an effect on it.”

Even as he maintains a veneer of confidence, Robinson knows this season — even a truncated one — will dictate his market value. That is, unless he gets an extension done first.

Here’s a look at three Bears entering the final year of their contracts in 2020 — and what’s at stake:

WR Allen Robinson

2020 salary: $15 million cap hit in last year of three-year, $42 million deal

The lowdown: Robinson was ecstatic when the Cowboys signed Amari Cooper to a five-year, $100 million deal in March. Robinson won’t get that much, but his agent will try to get close.

Robinson caught 98 balls for 1,147 yards last season and was, quite simply, one of the Bears’ best players — and locker-room voices — on either side of the ball.

The two sides expressed mutual interest in a new deal this offseason, but general manager Ryan Pace typically awards such extensions in the weeks before the start of the regular season. That would be an impressive birthday present for Robinson, who doesn’t turn 27 until Aug. 24.

“If something gets done, something gets done,” Robinson said. “But at the end of the day, that’s left up to the Bears and my agent. But for me personally, to be quite honest, I don’t really concern myself with that too much. I’m just looking forward to this 2020 season. I’m definitely excited for it. I’m definitely ready to get it going. Whatever happens, it happens.”

Odds he’s a Bear in 2021: Good. Robinson deserves the extension and Pace has always preferred rewarding his own players financially. Robinson was probably headed toward $50 million in guarantees before the coronavirus. If NFL franchises cry poor, he could play out his contract — but the Bears would likely give Robinson the franchise tag in 2021. That would be cost-prohibitive, though, and would prevent the Bears from using the tag on someone else — perhaps Mitch Trubisky.

QB Mitch Trubisky

2020 salary: $9.3 million cap hit in last year of four-year, $29 million deal

The lowdown: Trubisky wasn’t surprised when the Bears decided not to pick up his 2021 option, worth $24.8 million, in early May.

“I kind of felt like I had it coming,” he said last month.

Trubisky’s Bears career is on the line in 2020. He has to beat out Nick Foles, for whom the Bears gave up a fourth-round pick and $24 million over three years, and then play well enough to get paid like a starter.

Trubisky said he wants to stay in Chicago, but that his plan was to “earn my next contract, wherever that is.” The pressure is on, but new offensive coordinator Bill Lazor said the contract won’t change how the Bears pick a starter.

“I can tell you for certain the decision on the contract has zero effect on my job or the way I approach it,” Lazor said last month. “I’m sure that will come up. This is the NFL, that will be addressed in the future, whether it’s through future negotiations — whatever way, I know it will come up.

“I’m not saying we ignore it, but it doesn’t affect how I approach Mitch. It doesn’t affect the way we coach him. It doesn’t affect the evaluations. It is literally a constant evaluation of, ‘How does he operate? How does he think? What’s best for him?’”

Odds he’s a Bear in 2021: Not good. If Trubisky plays well — given his performance last season, that doesn’t seem likely — the Bears could franchise tag him for 2021 at roughly the same price as the fifth-year option that they turned down. Otherwise, he’ll have to post a standout season to be worth a long-term, starter-caliber contract.

There was a time when Pace defended his former No. 2 overall draft pick at all costs. While the Bears would be thrilled to see Trubisky run away with the starting job, blind loyalty ended with the Foles trade.

RB Tarik Cohen

2020 salary: $2.3 million cap hit in last year of a four-year, $3 million deal

The lowdown: Cohen will make more money this year than in his previous three combined, thanks to the NFL’s “proven performance escalator,” which bumped his salary up from $735,000 based on playing time. He has a chance to make even more in 2021 than in his entire career to that point. To do so, he’ll have to post a better 2020 than 2019, when he set an NFL record for fewest yards per catch for anyone with more than 60 receptions.

“It’s definitely a motivating factor being that this is the year,” he said last month. “I feel like I can’t put any pressure on nobody else. It’s all on me. That’s how I like to go about it.”

A “walk” year brings the best out of some players. Others put too much pressure on themselves.

“He and I have had some discussions about [the contract year] and I don’t think that’s going to be an issue at all,” running backs coach Charles London said last month. “I know Tarik is excited about this upcoming year. We’re putting last year behind us and we’re just going to move forward. He knows that I’ve got his back and we’re going to do whatever we think’s best for Tarik as far as in the offense and whatever that may entail.

“I don’t think that’s going to be an issue with him at all. He’s also very motivated to get out there and return to his 2018 form.”

Odds he’s a Bear in 2021: 50/50. The industry rewards only the upper echelon of running backs. But does it view Cohen as a running back, or a slot receiver/running back/punt returner who fits the modern game better than most?

Cohen and second-year running back David Montgomery could probably coexist financially through 2022, when Montgomery’s rookie contract expires. Cohen likely wouldn’t be able to land more than two guaranteed years on the open market, anyway.

The Bears will also have to weigh his 2020 performance against that of Cordarrelle Patterson, the three-time Pro Bowl special teams ace who is four years older than Cohen and whose contract expires at the same time. Paying both Cohen, a punt returner, and Patterson, a kick returner, would be redundant — unless Cohen re-emerges as the team’s second-best offensive weapon in 2020.

The Bears can’t let dynamic offensive players walk away. There’s no question Cohen qualifies as such, but 2020 will clarify whether he’s more than just a gadget player.

“I just take it upon myself … I want to win as a team,” Cohen said. “I feel like if we win as a team that is good for everybody’s individual success.”